Layer: 2040-2069 RCP 4.5 (ID: 5)

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Name: 2040-2069 RCP 4.5

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Description: The maps and tables presented here represent potential variability of projected climate change across the conterminous United States during three 30-year periods in this century and emphasizes the importance of evaluating multiple signals of change across large spatial domains. Maps of growing degree days, plant hardiness zones, heat zones, and cumulative drought severity depict the potential for markedly shifting conditions and highlight regions where changes may be multifaceted across these metrics. In addition to the maps, the potential change in these climate variables are summarized in tables according to the seven regions of the fourth National Climate Assessment to provide additional regional context. Viewing these data collectively further emphasizes the potential for novel climatic space under future projections of climate change and signals the wide disparity in these conditions based on relatively near-term human decisions of curtailing (or not) greenhouse gas emissions. More information available at https://www.fs.fed.us/nrs/pubs/rmap/rmap_nrs9.pdf. This dataset represents heat zones, or the mean number of days over 30 C, in 4 time periods (1980-2009, 2010-2039, 2040-2069, and 2070-2099), using two emissions scenarios (RCP 4.5 and 8.5, the medium and high scenarios, respectively).

Copyright Text: Matthews, S. N., Iverson, L. R., Peters, M. P., & Prasad, A. M. (2018). Assessing potential climate change pressures across the conterminous United States: mapping plant hardiness zones, heat zones, growing degree days, and cumulative drought severity throughout this century. RMAP-NRS-9. Newtown Square, PA: US Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station. 31 p., 9, 1-31. https://www.fs.fed.us/nrs/pubs/rmap/rmap_nrs9.pdf. The USDA Forest Service makes no warranty, expressed or implied, including the warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose, nor assumes any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, reliability, completeness or utility of these geospatial data, or for the improper or incorrect use of these geospatial data. These geospatial data and related maps or graphics are not legal documents and are not intended to be used as such. The data and maps may not be used to determine title, ownership, legal descriptions or boundaries, legal jurisdiction, or restrictions that may be in place on either public or private land. Natural hazards may or may not be depicted on the data and maps, and land users should exercise due caution. The data are dynamic and may change over time. The user is responsible to verify the limitations of the geospatial data and to use the data accordingly.

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